 Bayes Theorem
"Bayes Theorem" is a descriptor in the National Library of Medicine's controlled vocabulary thesaurus,
MeSH (Medical Subject Headings). Descriptors are arranged in a hierarchical structure,
which enables searching at various levels of specificity.
A theorem in probability theory named for Thomas Bayes (1702-1761). In epidemiology, it is used to obtain the probability of disease in a group of people with some characteristic on the basis of the overall rate of that disease and of the likelihoods of that characteristic in healthy and diseased individuals. The most familiar application is in clinical decision analysis where it is used for estimating the probability of a particular diagnosis given the appearance of some symptoms or test result.
| Descriptor ID |
D001499
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| MeSH Number(s) |
E05.318.740.600.200 N05.715.360.750.625.150 N06.850.520.830.600.200
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| Concept/Terms |
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Below are MeSH descriptors whose meaning is more general than "Bayes Theorem".
Below are MeSH descriptors whose meaning is more specific than "Bayes Theorem".
This graph shows the total number of publications written about "Bayes Theorem" by people in UAMS Profiles by year, and whether "Bayes Theorem" was a major or minor topic of these publications.
To see the data from this visualization as text, click here.
| Year | Major Topic | Minor Topic | Total |
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| 2025 | 0 | 3 | 3 | | 2024 | 0 | 3 | 3 | | 2023 | 0 | 1 | 1 | | 2022 | 0 | 1 | 1 | | 2021 | 0 | 9 | 9 | | 2020 | 0 | 7 | 7 | | 2019 | 1 | 2 | 3 | | 2018 | 0 | 2 | 2 | | 2017 | 1 | 5 | 6 | | 2016 | 0 | 3 | 3 | | 2015 | 0 | 4 | 4 | | 2014 | 0 | 1 | 1 | | 2013 | 1 | 3 | 4 | | 2012 | 0 | 4 | 4 | | 2011 | 0 | 3 | 3 | | 2010 | 1 | 1 | 2 | | 2009 | 0 | 1 | 1 | | 2008 | 0 | 1 | 1 | | 2007 | 0 | 1 | 1 | | 2005 | 0 | 1 | 1 | | 2003 | 0 | 1 | 1 | | 2002 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
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Below are the most recent publications written about "Bayes Theorem" by people in Profiles over the past ten years.
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Wang D, Suzuki A, Tong W. The connection between Bayesian networks and adverse outcome pathway (AOP) networks and how to use it for predicting drug toxicity. Drug Discov Today. 2025 May; 30(5):104350.
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Lee B, Young CB, Cai W, Yuan R, Ryman S, Kim J, Yang L, Henderson VW, Poston KL, Menon V. Dopaminergic modulation and dosage effects on brain state dynamics and working memory component processes in Parkinson's disease. Nat Commun. 2025 Mar 11; 16(1):2433.
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Du J, Wang S, Zhang H, Liu T, Sun S, Yang C, Zaller N, Dai Z, Zha H, Zhao Y, Zhao Y, Hu X, Yan H, Gao P, Wang J, Sun Y, Zhang Z, Don O. Pre-exposure Prophylaxis (PrEP) Awareness and Engagement Among MSM at High Risk of HIV Infection in China: A Multi-City Cross-Sectional Survey. AIDS Behav. 2025 May; 29(5):1629-1639.
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Lammers D, Betzold R, McClellan J, Eckert M, Bingham J, Hu P, Hurst S, Baird E, Hashmi Z, Kerby J, Jansen JO, Holcomb JB. Quantifying the benefit of whole blood on mortality in trauma patients requiring emergent laparotomy. J Trauma Acute Care Surg. 2024 Nov 01; 97(5):747-752.
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Pradilla G, Ratcliff JJ, Hall AJ, Saville BR, Allen JW, Paulon G, McGlothlin A, Lewis RJ, Fitzgerald M, Caveney AF, Li XT, Bain M, Gomes J, Jankowitz B, Zenonos G, Molyneaux BJ, Davies J, Siddiqui A, Chicoine MR, Keyrouz SG, Grossberg JA, Shah MV, Singh R, Bohnstedt BN, Frankel M, Wright DW, Barrow DL. Trial of Early Minimally Invasive Removal of Intracerebral Hemorrhage. N Engl J Med. 2024 04 11; 390(14):1277-1289.
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Blakely ML, Krzyzaniak A, Dassinger MS, Pedroza C, Weitkamp JH, Gosain A, Cotten M, Hintz SR, Rice H, Courtney SE, Lally KP, Ambalavanan N, Bendel CM, Bui KCT, Calkins C, Chandler NM, Dasgupta R, Davis JM, Deans K, DeUgarte DA, Gander J, Jackson CA, Keszler M, Kling K, Fenton SJ, Fisher KA, Hartman T, Huang EY, Islam S, Koch F, Lainwala S, Lesher A, Lopez M, Misra M, Overbey J, Poindexter B, Russell R, Stylianos S, Tamura DY, Yoder BA, Lucas D, Shaul D, Ham PB, Fitzpatrick C, Calkins K, Garrison A, de la Cruz D, Abdessalam S, Kvasnovsky C, Segura BJ, Shilyansky J, Smith LM, Tyson JE. Effect of Early vs Late Inguinal Hernia Repair on Serious Adverse Event Rates in Preterm Infants: A Randomized Clinical Trial. JAMA. 2024 03 26; 331(12):1035-1044.
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Presacco A, Chirumamilla VC, Vezina G, Li R, Du Plessis A, Massaro AN, Govindan RB. Prediction of outcome of hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy in newborns undergoing therapeutic hypothermia using heart rate variability. J Perinatol. 2024 Apr; 44(4):521-527.
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Bauman JE, Saba NF, Roe D, Bauman JR, Kaczmar J, Bhatia A, Muzaffar J, Julian R, Wang S, Bearelly S, Baker A, Steuer C, Giri A, Burtness B, Centuori S, Caulin C, Klein R, Saboda K, Obara S, Chung CH. Randomized Phase II Trial of Ficlatuzumab With or Without Cetuximab in Pan-Refractory, Recurrent/Metastatic Head and Neck Cancer. J Clin Oncol. 2023 08 01; 41(22):3851-3862.
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McCreary EK, Bariola JR, Minnier TE, Wadas RJ, Shovel JA, Albin D, Marroquin OC, Kip KE, Collins K, Schmidhofer M, Wisniewski MK, Nace DA, Sullivan C, Axe M, Meyers R, Weissman A, Garrard W, Peck-Palmer OM, Wells A, Bart RD, Yang A, Berry LR, Berry S, Crawford AM, McGlothlin A, Khadem T, Linstrum K, Montgomery SK, Ricketts D, Kennedy JN, Pidro CJ, Haidar G, Snyder GM, McVerry BJ, Yealy DM, Angus DC, Nakayama A, Zapf RL, Kip PL, Seymour CW, Huang DT. The comparative effectiveness of COVID-19 monoclonal antibodies: A learning health system randomized clinical trial. Contemp Clin Trials. 2022 08; 119:106822.
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Dareng EO, Tyrer JP, Barnes DR, Jones MR, Yang X, Aben KKH, Adank MA, Agata S, Andrulis IL, Anton-Culver H, Antonenkova NN, Aravantinos G, Arun BK, Augustinsson A, Balma?a J, Bandera EV, Barkardottir RB, Barrowdale D, Beckmann MW, Beeghly-Fadiel A, Benitez J, Bermisheva M, Bernardini MQ, Bjorge L, Black A, Bogdanova NV, Bonanni B, Borg A, Brenton JD, Budzilowska A, Butzow R, Buys SS, Cai H, Caligo MA, Campbell I, Cannioto R, Cassingham H, Chang-Claude J, Chanock SJ, Chen K, Chiew YE, Chung WK, Claes KBM, Colonna S, Cook LS, Couch FJ, Daly MB, Dao F, Davies E, de la Hoya M, de Putter R, Dennis J, DePersia A, Devilee P, Diez O, Ding YC, Doherty JA, Domchek SM, D?rk T, du Bois A, D?rst M, Eccles DM, Eliassen HA, Engel C, Evans GD, Fasching PA, Flanagan JM, Fortner RT, Machackova E, Friedman E, Ganz PA, Garber J, Gensini F, Giles GG, Glendon G, Godwin AK, Goodman MT, Greene MH, Gronwald J, Hahnen E, Haiman CA, H?kansson N, Hamann U, Hansen TVO, Harris HR, Hartman M, Heitz F, Hildebrandt MAT, H?gdall E, H?gdall CK, Hopper JL, Huang RY, Huff C, Hulick PJ, Huntsman DG, Imyanitov EN, Isaacs C, Jakubowska A, James PA, Janavicius R, Jensen A, Johannsson OT, John EM, Jones ME, Kang D, Karlan BY, Karnezis A, Kelemen LE, Khusnutdinova E, Kiemeney LA, Kim BG, Kjaer SK, Komenaka I, Kupryjanczyk J, Kurian AW, Kwong A, Lambrechts D, Larson MC, Lazaro C, Le ND, Leslie G, Lester J, Lesueur F, Levine DA, Li L, Li J, Loud JT, Lu KH, Lubinski J, Mai PL, Manoukian S, Marks JR, Matsuno RK, Matsuo K, May T, McGuffog L, McLaughlin JR, McNeish IA, Mebirouk N, Menon U, Miller A, Milne RL, Minlikeeva A, Modugno F, Montagna M, Moysich KB, Munro E, Nathanson KL, Neuhausen SL, Nevanlinna H, Yie JNY, Nielsen HR, Nielsen FC, Nikitina-Zake L, Odunsi K, Offit K, Olah E, Olbrecht S, Olopade OI, Olson SH, Olsson H, Osorio A, Papi L, Park SK, Parsons MT, Pathak H, Pedersen IS, Peixoto A, Pejovic T, Perez-Segura P, Permuth JB, Peshkin B, Peterlongo P, Piskorz A, Prokofyeva D, Radice P, Rantala J, Riggan MJ, Risch HA, Rodriguez-Antona C, Ross E, Rossing MA, Runnebaum I, Sandler DP, Santamari?a M, Soucy P, Schmutzler RK, Setiawan VW, Shan K, Sieh W, Simard J, Singer CF, Sokolenko AP, Song H, Southey MC, Steed H, Stoppa-Lyonnet D, Sutphen R, Swerdlow AJ, Tan YY, Teixeira MR, Teo SH, Terry KL, Terry MB, Thomassen M, Thompson PJ, Thomsen LCV, Thull DL, Tischkowitz M, Titus L, Toland AE, Torres D, Trabert B, Travis R, Tung N, Tworoger SS, Valen E, van Altena AM, van der Hout AH, Van Nieuwenhuysen E, van Rensburg EJ, Vega A, Edwards DV, Vierkant RA, Wang F, Wappenschmidt B, Webb PM, Weinberg CR, Weitzel JN, Wentzensen N, White E, Whittemore AS, Winham SJ, Wolk A, Woo YL, Wu AH, Yan L, Yannoukakos D, Zavaglia KM, Zheng W, Ziogas A, Zorn KK, Kleibl Z, Easton D, Lawrenson K, DeFazio A, Sellers TA, Ramus SJ, Pearce CL, Monteiro AN, Cunningham J, Goode EL, Schildkraut JM, Berchuck A, Chenevix-Trench G, Gayther SA, Antoniou AC, Pharoah PDP. Polygenic risk modeling for prediction of epithelial ovarian cancer risk. Eur J Hum Genet. 2022 03; 30(3):349-362.
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Rezaeiahari M, Brown CC, Ali MM, Datta J, Tilford JM. Understanding racial disparities in severe maternal morbidity using Bayesian network analysis. PLoS One. 2021; 16(10):e0259258.
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Lee B, Cai W, Young CB, Yuan R, Ryman S, Kim J, Santini V, Henderson VW, Poston KL, Menon V. Latent brain state dynamics and cognitive flexibility in older adults. Prog Neurobiol. 2022 01; 208:102180.
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Timko C, Grant KM, Han X, Young LB, Cucciare MA. Al-Anon Intensive Referral to facilitate concerned others' participation in Al-Anon Family Groups: a randomized controlled trial. Addiction. 2022 03; 117(3):590-599.
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Chauhan D, Orlandi V, Rajab TK, Bedeir K, Volfovsky A, Mokashi S. Postoperative Outcomes in Infants Undergoing ABO-incompatible Heart Transplantation in the United States. Ann Thorac Surg. 2022 11; 114(5):1746-1752.
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Geng EH, Schwab J, Foraker R, Fox B, Hoehner CM, Schootman M, Mody A, Powderly W, Yount B, Woeltje K, Petersen M. Outcomes Associated With Social Distancing Policies in St Louis, Missouri, During the Early Phase of the COVID-19 Pandemic. JAMA Netw Open. 2021 09 01; 4(9):e2123374.
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Kowal DR, Bravo M, Leong H, Bui A, Griffin RJ, Ensor KB, Miranda ML. Bayesian variable selection for understanding mixtures in environmental exposures. Stat Med. 2021 09 30; 40(22):4850-4871.
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Huang DT, McCreary EK, Bariola JR, Wadas RJ, Kip KE, Marroquin OC, Koscumb S, Collins K, Shovel JA, Schmidhofer M, Wisniewski MK, Sullivan C, Yealy DM, Axe M, Nace DA, Haidar G, Khadem T, Linstrum K, Snyder GM, Seymour CW, Montgomery SK, McVerry BJ, Berry L, Berry S, Meyers R, Weissman A, Peck-Palmer OM, Wells A, Bart R, Albin DL, Minnier T, Angus DC. The UPMC OPTIMISE-C19 (OPtimizing Treatment and Impact of Monoclonal antIbodieS through Evaluation for COVID-19) trial: a structured summary of a study protocol for an open-label, pragmatic, comparative effectiveness platform trial with response-adaptive randomization. Trials. 2021 May 25; 22(1):363.
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Wu J, Yuan Y, Long Priel DA, Fink D, Peer CJ, Sissung TM, Su YT, Pang Y, Yu G, Butler MK, Mendoza TR, Vera E, Ahmad S, Bryla C, Lindsley M, Grajkowska E, Mentges K, Boris L, Antony R, Garren N, Siegel C, Lollo N, Cordova C, Aboud O, Theeler BJ, Burton EM, Penas-Prado M, Leeper H, Gonzales J, Armstrong TS, Calvo KR, Figg WD, Kuhns DB, Gallin JI, Gilbert MR. Phase I Study of Zotiraciclib in Combination with Temozolomide for Patients with Recurrent High-grade Astrocytomas. Clin Cancer Res. 2021 06 15; 27(12):3298-3306.
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Tran D, Nguyen H, Tran B, La Vecchia C, Luu HN, Nguyen T. Fast and precise single-cell data analysis using a hierarchical autoencoder. Nat Commun. 2021 02 15; 12(1):1029.
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Patel L, Shukla T, Huang X, Ussery DW, Wang S. Machine Learning Methods in Drug Discovery. Molecules. 2020 Nov 12; 25(22).
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Mokdad AA, Wolf LL, Pandya S, Ryan M, Qureshi FG. Road Traffic Accidents and Disparities in Child Mortality. Pediatrics. 2020 11; 146(5).
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Niedbalski PJ, Cochran AS, Freeman MS, Guo J, Fugate EM, Davis CB, Dahlke J, Quirk JD, Varisco BM, Woods JC, Cleveland ZI. Validating in vivo hyperpolarized 129 Xe diffusion MRI and diffusion morphometry in the mouse lung. Magn Reson Med. 2021 04; 85(4):2160-2173.
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Mah SA, Avci R, Du P, Vanderwinden JM, Cheng LK. Supervised Machine Learning Segmentation and Quantification of Gastric Pacemaker Cells. Annu Int Conf IEEE Eng Med Biol Soc. 2020 07; 2020:1408-1411.
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Hernandez-Suarez DF, Ranka S, Kim Y, Latib A, Wiley J, Lopez-Candales A, Pinto DS, Gonzalez MC, Ramakrishna H, Sanina C, Nieves-Rodriguez BG, Rodriguez-Maldonado J, Feliu Maldonado R, Rodriguez-Ruiz IJ, da Luz Sant'Ana I, Wiley KA, Cox-Alomar P, Villablanca PA, Roche-Lima A. Machine-Learning-Based In-Hospital Mortality Prediction for Transcatheter Mitral Valve Repair in the United States. Cardiovasc Revasc Med. 2021 01; 22:22-28.
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Zimmerman JJ, Banks R, Berg RA, Zuppa A, Newth CJ, Wessel D, Pollack MM, Meert KL, Hall MW, Quasney M, Sapru A, Carcillo JA, McQuillen PS, Mourani PM, Wong H, Chima RS, Holubkov R, Coleman W, Sorenson S, Varni JW, McGalliard J, Haaland W, Whitlock K, Dean JM, Reeder RW. Critical Illness Factors Associated With Long-Term Mortality and Health-Related Quality of Life Morbidity Following Community-Acquired Pediatric Septic Shock. Crit Care Med. 2020 03; 48(3):319-328.
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Blum Murphy M, Ikoma N, Wang X, Estrella J, Roy-Chowdhuri S, Das P, Minsky BD, Song S, Mansfield P, Ajani J, Badgwell B. Phase I Trial of Hyperthermic Intraperitoneal Chemoperfusion (HIPEC) with Cisplatin, Mitomycin, and Paclitaxel in Patients with Gastric Adenocarcinoma and Associated Carcinomatosis or Positive Cytology. Ann Surg Oncol. 2020 Aug; 27(8):2806-2811.
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Alman BL, Stingone JA, Yazdy M, Botto LD, Desrosiers TA, Pruitt S, Herring AH, Langlois PH, Nembhard WN, Shaw GM, Olshan AF, Luben TJ. Associations between PM2.5 and risk of preterm birth among liveborn infants. Ann Epidemiol. 2019 11; 39:46-53.e2.
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Nozadi SS, Li L, Clifford J, Du R, Murphy K, Chen L, Seanez P, Burnette C, MacKenzie D, Lewis JL. Use of Ages and Stages Questionnaires? (ASQ) in a Navajo population: Comparison with the U.S. normative dataset. Child Care Health Dev. 2019 09; 45(5):709-718.
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Wheeler DC, Raman S, Jones RM, Schootman M, Nelson EJ. Bayesian deprivation index models for explaining variation in elevated blood lead levels among children in Maryland. Spat Spatiotemporal Epidemiol. 2019 08; 30:100286.
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Ayers S, Crawley R, Button S, Thornton A, Field AP, Flood C, Lee S, Eagle A, Bradley R, Moore D, Gyte G, Smith H. Evaluation of expressive writing for postpartum health: a randomised controlled trial. J Behav Med. 2018 10; 41(5):614-626.
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Went M, Sud A, F?rsti A, Halvarsson BM, Weinhold N, Kimber S, van Duin M, Thorleifsson G, Holroyd A, Johnson DC, Li N, Orlando G, Law PJ, Ali M, Chen B, Mitchell JS, Gudbjartsson DF, Kuiper R, Stephens OW, Bertsch U, Broderick P, Campo C, Bandapalli OR, Einsele H, Gregory WA, Gullberg U, Hillengass J, Hoffmann P, Jackson GH, J?ckel KH, Johnsson E, Kristinsson SY, Mellqvist UH, Nahi H, Easton D, Pharoah P, Dunning A, Peto J, Canzian F, Swerdlow A, Eeles RA, Kote-Jarai Z, Muir K, Pashayan N, Nickel J, N?then MM, Rafnar T, Ross FM, da Silva Filho MI, Thomsen H, Turesson I, Vangsted A, Andersen NF, Waage A, Walker BA, Wihlborg AK, Broyl A, Davies FE, Thorsteinsdottir U, Langer C, Hansson M, Goldschmidt H, Kaiser M, Sonneveld P, Stefansson K, Morgan GJ, Hemminki K, Nilsson B, Houlston RS. Identification of multiple risk loci and regulatory mechanisms influencing susceptibility to multiple myeloma. Nat Commun. 2018 09 13; 9(1):3707.
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Phelan PS. Chemopreventive potential of nicotinamide in Gilmore's Bayesian analysis. Australas J Dermatol. 2018 08; 59(3):236.
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Phelan PS. The value of Bayes' theorem for pure likelihood clinical reasoning. J Eval Clin Pract. 2018 08; 24(4):782-783.
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Williams S, Trewartha G, Kemp SPT, Brooks JHM, Fuller CW, Taylor AE, Cross MJ, Shaddick G, Stokes KA. How Much Rugby is Too Much? A Seven-Season Prospective Cohort Study of Match Exposure and Injury Risk in Professional Rugby Union Players. Sports Med. 2017 Nov; 47(11):2395-2402.
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Sharma R, Harris VM, Cavett J, Kurien BT, Liu K, Koelsch KA, Fayaaz A, Chaudhari KS, Radfar L, Lewis D, Stone DU, Kaufman CE, Li S, Segal B, Wallace DJ, Weisman MH, Venuturupalli S, Kelly JA, Pons-Estel B, Jonsson R, Lu X, Gottenberg JE, Anaya JM, Cunninghame-Graham DS, Huang AJW, Brennan MT, Hughes P, Alevizos I, Miceli-Richard C, Keystone EC, Bykerk VP, Hirschfield G, Nordmark G, Bucher SM, Eriksson P, Omdal R, Rhodus NL, Rischmueller M, Rohrer M, Wahren-Herlenius M, Witte T, Alarc?n-Riquelme M, Mariette X, Lessard CJ, Harley JB, Ng WF, Rasmussen A, Sivils KL, Scofield RH. Rare X Chromosome Abnormalities in Systemic Lupus Erythematosus and Sj?gren's Syndrome. Arthritis Rheumatol. 2017 11; 69(11):2187-2192.
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Palatnik A, Ye S, Kendziorski C, Iden M, Zigman JS, Hessner MJ, Rader JS. Identification of a serum-induced transcriptional signature associated with metastatic cervical cancer. PLoS One. 2017; 12(8):e0181242.
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Jun SR, Nookaew I, Hauser L, Gorin A. Assessment of genome annotation using gene function similarity within the gene neighborhood. BMC Bioinformatics. 2017 Jul 19; 18(1):345.
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Cohen AL, Sidlowski S, Staub A. Beliefs and Bayesian reasoning. Psychon Bull Rev. 2017 06; 24(3):972-978.
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Zhang F, Flaherty P. Variational inference for rare variant detection in deep, heterogeneous next-generation sequencing data. BMC Bioinformatics. 2017 Jan 19; 18(1):45.
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Wong LH, Sinha S, Bergeron JR, Mellor JC, Giaever G, Flaherty P, Nislow C. Reverse Chemical Genetics: Comprehensive Fitness Profiling Reveals the Spectrum of Drug Target Interactions. PLoS Genet. 2016 09; 12(9):e1006275.
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Schootman M, Chien L, Yun S, Pruitt SL. Explaining large mortality differences between adjacent counties: a cross-sectional study. BMC Public Health. 2016 08 02; 16:681.
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Sanger PC, van Ramshorst GH, Mercan E, Huang S, Hartzler AL, Armstrong CA, Lordon RJ, Lober WB, Evans HL. A Prognostic Model of Surgical Site Infection Using Daily Clinical Wound Assessment. J Am Coll Surg. 2016 08; 223(2):259-270.e2.
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Leroux S, Turner MA, Guellec CB, Hill H, van den Anker JN, Kearns GL, Jacqz-Aigrain E, Zhao W. Pharmacokinetic Studies in Neonates: The Utility of an Opportunistic Sampling Design. Clin Pharmacokinet. 2015 Dec; 54(12):1273-85.
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Grubbs KM, Fortney JC, Pyne JM, Hudson T, Moore WM, Custer P, Schneider R, Schnurr PP. Predictors of Initiation and Engagement of Cognitive Processing Therapy Among Veterans With PTSD Enrolled in Collaborative Care. J Trauma Stress. 2015 Dec; 28(6):580-4.
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